18 August 2010

NFL Playbooks in PDF Form For Free!

Yesterday on the pro-football-reference.com blog, they shared a link from Fast & Furious Football, a site solely of football playbooks, both college, pro and even high school, offensive, defensive, special teams and even instructions for workouts.

The link is found here: http://fastandfuriousfootball.com/free-playbooks.html

Just as a bit of teaser (or more incentive to check this fabulous site out), there are playbooks from all eras and offensive types; '66 Packers, '69 Redskins, as well as some more modern offenses like the '01 Rams, '03 Pats and quite a few West Coast Offense 49ers playbooks generated by Bill Walsh, Mike Holmgren and Mike Shanahan. It even has the playbook of my favorite all-time team, the 411-page playbook of the 2000 St. Louis Rams, who scored 540 points and racked-up 7,075 yards of total offense (don't expect similar numbers to a Bears team near you however).

17 August 2010

2010 NFC Preview

Last week, I did my AFC preview, and now a week into the preseason, here is my NFC preview.

Minnesota Vikings (10-6)

Whether or not Favre signs, this is Adrian Peterson's team. And honestly, Favre will maybe win an extra game (remember they won 10 games with Gus Frerotte and Tavaris Jackson at quarterback a couple years ago). Their talent remains mostly unchanged from last year, so I'm expecting another good season from the Vikings, however they have a tough first half of their schedule, so don't expect Favre to have quite as good a season as last.

Green Bay Vikings (12-4)

One of the NFL's elite team with an elite quarterback. Their one weak spot is their offensive line which gave up the most sacks last season. They have the weapons to win a Super Bowl and have an easy schedule too.

Chicago Bears (8-8)

The Bears could go either way. They have a ton of talent, especially on defense, but have an erratic quarterback. The addition of Mike Martz as offensive coordinator may help Cutler out, but Martz had success with the Rams with supreme talent.

Detroit Lions (2-14)

Umm, yeah, can we move on?

New Orleans Saints (11-5)

I'm expecting a bit of a Super Bowl hangover from the Saints, but not too much of a drop-off as their personnel has largely remained the same. If they can still run the ball and play defense the way they did last year, they will do fine.

Atlanta Falcons (10-6)

I know a lot of people are high on the Falcons, but I am not one of those. They have an easy schedule and they may be the best squad as a team, but I don't think they have the weapons do win the Super Bowl. Yeah they have Tony Gonzalez, but so did the Chiefs for 15 years and they went nowhere in the playoffs in that time span.

Carolina Panthers (8-8)

All of the NFC South teams have easy schedules, however I'm not predicting any spectacular or earth-shattering from the Panthers. They are perfectly average, and have remained as such during much of the John Fox-era.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-15)

Okay-yay, moving on.

Dallas Cowboys (13-3)

I'm not a huge Tony Romo or Wade Phillips fan, however they have so much other talent which makes them one of the league's best teams, especially Miles Austin. Expect Tony Romo to honk a game or two toward the end of the season but I don't rule out the Cowboys playing at home in the Super Bowl. They are helped by the fact that this is the first time in years that the NFC East may be a down division (I don't know what to expect from either of the three other teams).

New York Giants (9-7)

Well they have an easy schedule, but other than that I have no idea what to expect from the Giants.

Philadelphia Eagles (7-9)

I think the loss of Donovan McNabb will really hurt the Eagles and they have a really tough December; with games against the Texans and Vikings, and at the Cowboys and Giants.

Washington Redskins (8-8)

The Redskins will be a very talented team with a great coach and quarterback, however they have a tough schedule, especially in the middle of the season when teams usually pick up steam for the playoffs. The addition of Donovan McNabb has obviously created national attention for the Redskins, who will play two Sunday Night games (both at home against the Cowboys and Colts) despite being in the cellar last year.

San Francisco 49ers (10-6)

I'm going to grudgingly say that the 49ers will win the weak NFC West (and they may have home-field advantage in the playoffs), even though Mike Singletary is crazy. Yes they have Frank Gore (and now Brian Westbrook) and that's about it on offense. Shaun Hill really, really should start at quarterback instead of Alex Smith. Hill is 10-6 as a starter, 322 of 522 passing for 3,490 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. And they have an easy schedule too.

Arizona Cardinals (6-10)

I don't know what to make of them, so I'll say .500. They lost a lot of talent with Boldin and Rolle going to other teams and Warner retiring. I do not think Matt Leinert is a competent NFL starter. He's just another glory-boy quarterback who looked good at a powerhouse school, but cannot handle the NFL. I do however think the Cardinals still have one of the best coaching staffs in the league, but that only goes so far. Second-year running back "Beanie" Wells will have to step it up or the 2010 Cardinals' season will be a disaster.

Seattle Seahawks (9-7)

Another coaching staff begins anew with the Seahawks with the same talent, which is actually not bad. They have a relatively easy schedule and with a coach who has had success with other teams in the NFL with remotely the same talent level (Carroll is 33-31 as a coach, with a 1-2 playoff record).

09 August 2010

AFC Season Predictions

Yup. It's that time of year where we needlessly predict NFL teams' records for 2010. Today I'll do the AFC and then I'll do the NFC in a separate post.

Because I saw the Bengals play last night, I'll start with them:

Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)

Last year, they were the NFL's best team and I'm expecting a bit of a drop-off from last year because T.O. has historically not been much of team player and because they'll need to pass more because of T.O. and Ochocinco.

Baltimore Ravens (11-5)

Their defense isn't old, Ray Lewis is, and he's just as dominate as ever, however is focus of their team has shifted to their offense; Joe Flacco, Ray Rice, Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason. And yes, I expect them and the Bengals to be neck-and-neck down the stretch for the AFC North title.

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-10)

I expect them to not be as dominate either, as this team has become Ben Roethlisberger and nobody else. He'll be suspended the first few games of the season where they'll struggle. Their offensive line is bad, which makes them not good at running the ball and bad at protecting Big Ben. Their defense is getting old and it was revealed that they are nothing without Troy Polamalu.

Cleveland Browns (4-12)

They're taking baby-steps to becoming a good team. I'm not sure if the acquisition of Jake Delhomme was all that good of an idea but that team could use some veteran leadership. Team President Mike Holmgren is an offensive genius and it's already been confirmed that coach Eric Mangini will run Holmgren's offense. Jerome Harrison could easily have a good season which will help out Delhomme and Cribbs when they go into the Wildcat. However they have a tough schedule so I don't expect them to win too many games because of that.

Indianapolis Colts (13-3)

Umm, yeah, it's the Colts with Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark, Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon. How bad can they be?

Houston Texans (11-5)

The Texans are going to be my dark horse team this year. Because I'm expecting the Titans and Jaguars to have down seasons, I see no reason why they won't make the playoffs for the first time in franchise history (if they were in a different division, they would be). Andre Johnson is the best wide receiver in the league, and Matt Schaub has become an elite quarterback with the right coach (Gary Kubiak). Their lack of a running game may be their downfall though

Tennessee Titans (6-10)

I'm just not seeing it. Chris Johnson may have another 2,000 yard-season, but that won games in 1985, not 2010. Kerry Collins is extremely inconsistent and Vince Young, while a gifted athlete, is not a cerebral person whatsoever. Their skill position talent is not very good and their defense is below average (28th last season). Dare I say that if they don't win that Jeff Fisher is on the hot seat?

Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)

Their skill position talent is better than the Titans, however their defense is just average. I'm not sure how the loss of Torry Holt will effect their passing game this season. To be honest I'm not sure if he was much of a threat last year. They have a tough-ish schedule (don't be surprised if they start 0-4) but a couple easy games in the middle of the season.

New England Patriots (12-4)

They'll have a dominate offense this season, there's no doubt about that, however their defense is just not good and expect that to cost them a game or two; namely against the Chargers and possibly the Packers.

New York Jets (11-5)

They have an easy out-of-division schedule, as they play the mushy NFC North, as well as the Texans and Bengals at home in November. And yes, they'll have a good defense but they're blitz-happy ways may cost them a game.

Miami Dolphins (9-7)

They too have an easy schedule, with the exception of having to travel to New England the last game of the season, however they have some woofers against Tennessee, Cleveland, Oakland and Chicago. Other than Brandon Marshall, their skill position talent isn't outstanding but they have one of the better coaching staff in the league, so that helps.

Buffalo Bills (3-13)

They play in tough division and don't have an easy schedule and they're not a good team. I have nothing else to say.

San Diego Chargers (13-3)

It's quite possible they have the easiest schedule in the NFL, and not because they play in a crappy division. They play the Jaguars and the 49ers at home.

Oakland Raiders (7-9)

They too are taking baby-steps to becoming a good team. They have an easy first 2/3 of their schedule, whereas it'll be tough in December, going to Pittsburgh, and having games against Indy and Miami.

Denver Broncos (6-10)

They have a tough schedule and don't have very good players. They have a tough beginning schedule, where the Broncos have historically won games in, but I'm not seeing it.

Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)

They have better coaching staff and decent skill position talent, however they have a tough beginning to their season but wrap it up with easy games.

03 August 2010

Chris Johnson To Be The Next Terrell Davis? And Me Writing Anything and Everything About NFL Running Backs

Titans' running back Chris Johnson had an astounding 2,006 yards on 358 carries. Stats back up that Johnson will have a short but productive career, much like Larry Johnson, Ricky Williams 1.0 and Terrell Davis. NFL History tells us that running backs who have consecutive 300+ carry seasons don't last long.

In 2006 Larry Johnson carried the ball an NFL record 416 times (and 336 times the season before). Johnson has not been the same since. He hasn't had a 1,000 yard season since.

Ricky Williams 1.0 had 775 carries over two seasons (2002 and 2003) and leading the league in rushing in 2002, then failed a drug test in training camp the next season and retired. He tried to come back both with the Dolphins and in Canada but either had drug troubles or injuries before Ricky Williams 2.0 emerged in 2008.

Terrell Davis had seasons of 345, 369 and 392 carries over three straight seasons. Then Davis had three more injury-plagued seasons before he retired after just seven NFL seasons.

The same thing could be said for running backs after 29 (if they even make it that long). O.J. Simpson seemed to hit a wall after 29, as did Eric Dickerson and LaDainian Tomlinson.

Defenses scheme better for these guys, and coaches keep radioing-in plays for them, which overtime leads to fatigue and injury. And it seemed to happen more often in the past 20 years with single back offenses emerging in the NFL.

However, this scenario does point to the greatness of players like Curtis Martin, Eddie George, Barry Sanders and LaDainian Tomlinson, who had multiple 300+ carry seasons and were largely their teams playmakers for years and years (Martin had two straight 300+ carry seasons after 30).

Ricky Watters was a controversial running back in his day because he would take plays off and run his mouth on occasion. But he was a rare breed of running back who routinely played well. He is the only back in history to have a 1,000 yard season with three different teams. Yes, he may have taken plays off, but it only helped out his longevity.

Marcus Allen was undoubtedly the longest-tenured NFL running back, playing for 16 seasons. He had a considerable slump in the middle of his career, which lead to his dealing to Kansas City, where he became a short-yardage back (picking up "garbage yards") and a pass receiver. Amazingly, he had 11 touchdowns at age 37.

So watch out, Chris Johnson. You're bound to be the next Terrell Davis, who has two or three outstanding seasons, and then quickly drop into obscurity due to injuries and lack or production.

28 July 2010

Will Fox Change Its NFL Scoring Bug This Season?

Normally every season an NFL televising network has the Super Bowl, that network changes their graphics. This past year, CBS changed their graphics during the preseason in anticipation of their co Super Bowl. The last time they did that was 2006... the last time they hosted a Super Bowl.

Fox too changed their graphics to their current scheme in 2006 as well, even though they did not have the Super Bowl until the end of the 2007 season. This season, Fox will have the Super Bowl, so does that mean they will debut new graphics and scoring bug?

When Fox won the NFC package from CBS in 1994, they were the first network to use a scoring bug (called the "FoxBox.") It was a simple see-through box that displayed the score, quarter and time, which Fox used for several years until 1998.

ABC began using both a scoring bug and the electronic first down line in 1997 and their graphics were changed every year until ABC lost Monday Night Football in 2006.

NBC has basically been using the same graphics since they returned to the NFL in 2006. They have only hosted one Super Bowl so they may switch them up next season when they will host their next Super Bowl.

NBC hosted Super Bowl XXXII in 1998. Their coverage of the game was rather boring and uninterested. They used no scoring bug, no electronic first down marker, no nothing.

Meanwhile, Fox updated the FoxBox in 1998 in anticipation of hosting Super Bowl XXXIII and CBS was back with the AFC package (beating out NBC for the bid) and they used their own rendition of the FoxBox (which was updated of the years until this past year, where they opted for a scoring banner).

CBS changed their scoring bug in 1999 and used it through 2000. A new one debuted for Super Bowl XXXV and it was kept through 2001.

In 2001, Fox's year in the Super Bowl rotation, the FoxBox was retired, and Fox debuted a generic scoring banner that has been updated a few times over the years (the same thing was done for their baseball coverage too).

Personally, I have not like Fox or CBS' graphics since 2005, especially Fox's, because I feel it's too small and too hard to read (even though it covers the whole screen!)

Is it a big deal with me? No, but with how much football I watch I notice it.

27 July 2010

Catching 1,000 Passes Does Not Matter in the NFL Anymore

10 years ago, there was only one receiver in the 1,000 receptions club, and that was Jerry Rice, of course. In 2000, Cris Carter caught his 1,000th pass, and in 2002 Tim Brown caught his 1,000th. The fourth receiver to catch 1,000 passes was Marvin Harrison, and he did so in 2006. In 2008 Isaac Bruce caught his 1,000th and then the next season T.O. did as well. If tight end Tony Gonzalez catches exactly one pass this year, he will have caught 1,000, the first tight end to do so And this year both Randy Moss and Torry Holt have legitimate shots at joining the club.

The next two to reach these sort of numbers are no-brainers: Larry Fitzgerald and Andre Johnson. Johnson has played seven season and has 587 receptions. Fitzgerald has played one less season and has 523 receptions. I see no reason to think that these guys will also have their 1,000 if their numbers stay the same over the next seven seasons. Antonio Gates also has a pretty good chance of catching 1,000. He has 479 receptions and has played the same number of seasons as Johnson.

Every time a receiver has caught 1,000 passes, it has become less of a big deal. In 2002 when Tim Brown caught his 1,000th pass, (on a Monday Night game against the Jets) the game was stopped for five minutes when his family members, friends and coaches came onto the field to congratulate him. (And as a fun fact, on the next play Rich Gannon threw a touchdown pass to Jerry Rice) I do not recall when Harrison caught his thousandth, to be honest. I found out by wondering who would be the next after Brown and looking on pro-football-reference.com and I saw that Harrison had already caught 1,000. When Bruce and Owens did it, they certainly did not stop the game for them.

Yes, Torry Holt Still Plays in the NFL

EDIT: This post was made before Holt was put on injured reserve, which means he will miss the entire season, and possibly will retire too. Oh, well. Read this post anyway.

Anyone remember "Big Game" Torry Holt? I'm sure you do. He played 10 plentiful seasons with the Rams. He was cut by the Rams in March of 2009 and was subsequently picked up by the Jaguars and started 12 games last season, catching 51 passes for 722 yards with no touchdowns - the least productive season of his career. Holt was released by the Jags on February 11th and signed with the Patriots in April.

Of all the latest Patriots talk surrounding Tom Brady, Wes Welker and Randy Moss, I have heard no mention of Holt, one of the most productive receivers in NFL history, whatsoever. I wonder why. Yes, he will be 34 this season, but Jerry Rice was one of the league's best receivers well into his 40s. And his teammate, Randy Moss, will be the same age too.

Holt was the fastest receiver to reach 10,000 yards receiving and currently stands at 920 receptions. If his numbers stay on their current path and he plays in 2011, or whenever football may return, he will be the seventh or eighth receiver catch 1,000 passes. I say "or eighth" because Randy Moss currently stands at 926 receptions. Barring any injury or downturn in production, he will catch his 1,000th pass this season as well.

Am I an idiot to think that Torry Holt will have a big year this year and have a resurgence in his career? In the Patriots system and with Tom Brady at quarterback, I don't think so. He can't possibly throw every pass to Welker and Moss.